Nate Silver is a statistician, writer, and political analyst, widely recognized for his accurate predictions of U.S. presidential elections. He's now released an exceptional new book titled, "On the Edge: The Art of Risking Everything." The book delves into the world of risk, game theory, cryptocurrency, artificial intelligence, and poker—fields where the stakes are high and the outcomes uncertain. One of the central themes of the book is crypto, which is why we were thrilled to have Nate join us. Nate is not just a respected analyst; he's one of us—a fellow degen who shares our passion for the unpredictable and the frontier. But he's also much more. Nate is an avid poker player, a sharp sports bettor, an interviewer of Sam Bankman-Fried, an NFT enthusiast, and an advisor to Polymarket. In today’s episode, he offers keen insights into the brewing battle between the crypto world and its traditional incumbents. ------ 📣DEBRIEF | Ryan & David Unpacking the Episode: https://www.bankless.com/debrief-the-nate-silver-interview   ------ BANKLESS SPONSOR TOOLS: 🐙KRAKEN | MOST-TRUSTED CRYPTO EXCHANGE https://k.xyz/bankless-pod-q2    ⁠  🦄UNISWAP | BROWSER EXTENSION https://bankless.cc/uniswap  ⚡️ CARTESI | LINUX-POWERED ROLLUPS https://bankless.cc/CartesiGovernance  🛞MANTLE | MODULAR LAYER 2 NETWORK https://bankless.cc/Mantle    🌐 OBOL | STAKE ON DVs, SCALE ETHEREUM https://bankless.cc/obol  🗣️TOKU | CRYPTO EMPLOYMENT  https://bankless.cc/toku  ------ ✨ Mint the episode on Zora ✨ https://zora.co/collect/zora:0x0c294913a7596b427add7dcbd6d7bbfc7338d53f/48   ------ TIMESTAMPS 0:00 Intro 5:32 Nate is one of us 7:56 Nate’s POV on crypto  11:07 ‘The River’  17:35 ‘The Village’ 19:15 Riverian & Villager conflict  25:38 Is the River better? 34:16 Sam Bankman-Fried 52:23 Sam Altman 59:13 Prediction markets & Polymarket 1:06:56 2024 election predictions  1:09:01 Riverian’s betting Trump?  1:10:50 How do we navigate this? 1:15:09 Advice for the crypto industry 1:16:38 Closing & Disclaimers ------ RESOURCES Nate Silver https://x.com/NateSilver538   On the Edge  https://www.penguinrandomhouse.com/books/529280/on-the-edge-by-nate-silver/   ------ Not financial or tax advice. See our investment disclosures here: https://www.bankless.com/disclosures  ⁠ 

This week in crypto we saw markets…stumble? Then recover? Is the 2024 bull run over?  Elizabeth Warren is targeting prediction markets and the crypto community is pushing back, obviously. Meanwhile, SEC Chair Gary Gensler also faces setbacks…more L’s?  Zora’s latest release promises to shake up the NFT world.  And in a surprising twist, Trump's children have reportedly taken a keen interest in…DeFi…? ------ 🍵MATCHA | NEW PRICING ENGINE https://go.0x.org/matcha-v2-pod   ------ BANKLESS SPONSOR TOOLS: 🐙 KRAKEN | MOST-TRUSTED CRYPTO EXCHANGE https://k.xyz/bankless-pod-q2    ⁠  🛞 MANTLE | MODULAR LAYER 2 NETWORK https://bankless.cc/Mantle  🦄 UNISWAP | BROWSER EXTENSION https://bankless.cc/uniswap  🌐 OBOL | STAKE ON DVs, SCALE ETHEREUM https://bankless.cc/obol    ⚡️ CARTESI | LINUX-POWERED ROLLUPS https://bankless.cc/CartesiGovernance  🗣️ TOKU | CRYPTO EMPLOYMENT SOLUTION https://bankless.cc/toku  ------ ✨ Mint the episode on Zora ✨ https://zora.co/collect/zora:0x0c294913a7596b427add7dcbd6d7bbfc7338d53f/46  ------ TIMESTAMPS & RESOURCES 0:00 Intro 2:50 What happened to markets?  https://x.com/dougboneparth/status/1820448580290724222  https://www.cnbc.com/2024/08/05/carry-trades-a-major-unwinding-is-underway-amid-a-stock-sell-off.html  https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1819753746202546478  https://x.com/radarhits/status/1820091232770572794  https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2024/08/08/kamala-harris-donald-trump-tied-on-polymarket-on-who-will-be-the-next-us-president/  https://x.com/WatcherGuru/status/1820554001450258522  https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1820897733143585209  11:27 What happened since Monday https://www.reuters.com/markets/asia/boj-wont-raise-rates-when-markets-unstable-deputy-governor-says-2024-08-07/  https://x.com/peruvian_bull/status/1820999796334981126  https://x.com/NickTimiraos/status/1821532870529396989  https://x.com/Polymarket/status/1820869310119662035  https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1820870572093448299  14:31 Bankless Episodes - Livestream & Tom Lee  https://www.youtube.com/live/CIbt2xlBJ5A?si=_60rGAl_9zzv-H0C  https://youtu.be/lD9774SuP3E?si=-a3Zmt-1r6aS22xq  22:24 Jump Capital is selling its crypto positions  https://x.com/lookonchain/status/1820321011730116636  25:17 Highest ETH ETF inflows since their launch https://x.com/zerohedge/status/1821143966462484640  https://x.com/TommyWorldPower/status/1821091488132165719  https://www.cnbc.com/2024/08/02/morgan-stanley-wealth-advisors-bitcoin-etfs.html  27:10 Why is ETH so weak? https://x.com/RyanSAdams/status/1821534234382627195  https://imgur.com/TsIvCPi  https://x.com/ceterispar1bus/status/1820842327901954453  33:38 Strong earnings for key crypto companies in Q2…what we can learn? https://s27.q4cdn.com/397450999/files/doc_financials/2024/q2/Q2-24-Shareholder-Letter.pdf  https://www.theblock.co/post/310136/robinhoods-q2-crypto-revenues-up-161-as-trading-volume-hits-21-5-billion  https://x.com/wazzcrypto/status/1786139849197551637  36:56 Are Prediction Markets bad? Sen. Warren thinks so https://www.merkley.senate.gov/wp-content/uploads/CFTC-Letter-FINAL.pdf  https://x.com/mansourtarek_/status/1820486209031766204  https://x.com/matthew_d_green/status/1821146583955583068  https://x.com/iamDCinvestor/status/1821361435449962562   https://x.com/hasufl/status/1820818054621622673  https://x.com/LWarho/status/1820888617469771813  https://x.com/Domahhhh/status/1821208004529942713  https://x.com/TrustlessState/status/1821178136282726643  48:02 Zora protocol now creates pools on Uniswap! https://x.com/js_horne/status/1821215028457967757  https://x.com/haydenzadams/status/1821229811689517401  https://x.com/tbtstl/status/1821217611935273368  50:11 Ripple Labs settled with SEC & More Ls https://x.com/EleanorTerrett/status/1821276946921345341  https://x.com/lex_node/status/1821282897921503742  https://x.com/bgarlinghouse/status/1821289051191963861  https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.nysd.599908/gov.uscourts.nysd.599908.150.0.pdf  https://x.com/RyanSAdams/status/1821169925769044250  https://x.com/EleanorTerrett/status/1820540465609130052  53:25 Were Eric and Donald Trump Jr DeFi-pilled? https://x.com/EricTrump/status/1820906993802211751  https://x.com/DonaldJTrumpJr/status/1821164331020517596  55:04 Where did Brian Armstrong’s co-founder go?  https://x.com/fehrsam/status/1820859394361610338  57:10 MEME of the Week https://media.discordapp.net/attachments/1257324353301905579/1270790505357115674/image0.jpg?ex=66b5a422&is=66b452a2&hm=33fc015ff27ad80a11172c464d2edb054bd418d5234be0088788f6946593404f&=&format=webp&width=1620&height=1843  58:28 Closing & Disclosures ------ Not financial or tax advice. See our investment disclosures here: https://www.bankless.com/disclosures ⁠